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Are you a superforecaster? I’m not
But I know of one who is! Philip E Tetlock, and colleague Dan Gardner, are the authors of the book ‘Superforecasting: the Art and Science of Prediction’ published by Cornerstone Digital in 2015. A Toronto-born academic, he works at the […]
Remembering Brian Marber: Who died last month
STA members and the Committee are always a font of knowledge. Now that they know I’m always on the lookout for ‘content’ – as it’s known in the trade – they give me leads for further enquiry, newspaper clippings, photos […]
Famous fifteen have fun: Running 5K in the sun
On the hottest day so far this year, amid weather warnings from the organisers and signal failure causing untold disruption on all London south-bound trains, the intrepid STA fun-runners pitched up for another fund-raising event. An established date of the […]
Tags: charity, events, fun run, Team Building
Eyes on the Executive Committee: Change at the top
Following on from last week’s blog where we discussed briefly what Chairman Axel Rudolph had to say at the STA’s 50th birthday party at City Hall – and the bombshell (for me at least) that he was stepping down at […]
The Gartley Pattern: ‘Harmonic Trading’
I always enjoy going to the STA’s monthly meetings. Sometimes the speakers are entertaining and amusing, more often than not they make me sit up and listen. Occasionally I learn to see things in a different way, and even if […]
Tags: Chart patterns, correction, Harmonic, Technical Analysis Courses, Waves
For traders, its all in the mind: Says Paul McLaren
Australia’s Paul McLaren literally flew in and flew out to give his talk at the STA’s May monthly meeting. I know this because his Facebook entry says he’s been on 19 different flights to 13 countries recently. He also took […]
Tags: bias, confirmation, perspective, Technical Analysis Courses
Payback time for QE looms: And it will be pricey
So wrote Merryn Somerset Webb in her Investing column in the FT Money section of the latest Weekend Financial Times. I attach the chart she used for the article, and am tempted to change the title of my piece to: […]
Tags: Assets, bonds, Payback, Quantative Easing
Socionomic Studies of Society and Culture: Edited by Robert R Prechter
Robert Prechter is a perennial favourite among technical analysts, having revived the work of R. N. Elliott and lectured on the subject all over the world. More recently he has been concentrating on the Socionomics Institute, a research centre dedicated […]
Tags: Mood, Prediction, Social Trends, Socionomics
Europe viewed from across the pond: Video from European Financial Forecast
An arm of Elliott Wave International, this video of the editor of European Financial Forecast looks at EU stock indices noticing the 10-year gaps between their highs. This reminded me of the 10-year gap between the Nikkei 225’s peak in […]
Tags: Complancency, Euphoria, Sentiments, tops
Are you MiFID fit? Second time round, yes (hopefully)
New rules as to how investment research is distributed and gets paid for come into force on the 3rd of January 2018. They’re called MiFID II because this is the second version of the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive. Dreamt […]
Tags: MiFID II, Poll, Regulation, Research
Nicole Elliott Interview series: Anne Whitby FSTA
Anne Whitby FSTA kicks off our series of interviews with leading technical analysts. As part of our social media programme, and in an effort to help and educate budding professional and amateur chartists, this series aims at giving a light-hearted […]
Are histograms of any use? To technical analysts, of course
Primary school first introduced us to basic charts, cutting up a pie into equal-sized portions to feed all those around the table, plotting the height of class members as a histogram, or a line linking the number of hours’ worth […]
Tags: MACD, open interest, volume
FTSE’s 6,000 line has been respected by the market yet again!
On 18th February, on behalf of the Society of Technical Analysts, I presented the inaugural Finance Society lecture at Anglia Ruskin University’s Lord Ashcroft International Business School and showed the following chart. I argued that before making significant new highs […]
Using Fibs for profit targets
First of all I would like to say I hope I can do the blog justice in Nicole Elliott’s absence as I have immensely enjoyed her posts so far, secondly I wanted to post something in this blog that I […]
Tags: Fibonacci, Ratios, Stock market, trending
Vix and volatility: To be anticipated
The S&P 500 index this year had held in the tiniest range in decades – 3.5 per cent either side of its opening level – then in August the beast turned nasty. Taking so many by surprise the Vix index, […]
Tags: Japanese yen, stock indices, US dollar
Drawing the line: Correctly
The quickest and easiest way to establish a trend is by drawing a trend line, yet it is unbelievable and frightening how often these are done incorrectly. At the risk of being pedantic and accused of treating readers condescendingly, we […]
Tags: channel, pitchfork, Trends
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