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Developments in Technical Analysis: Incremental improvements
Reading through my newly purchased book, Atlas of Finance compiled by Dariusz Wójcik and published by Yale University Press, I came across these candlestick charts profiling recoveries post the 2008 stock market crash. Labelled ‘advanced’, ‘emerging’ and ‘frontier’ markets, nothing […]
Tags: candles, Market Profile, oscillator, RSI, timing
Seasonality, Cyclicals and Statistics: Probability rules!
Tuesday 12th November was the eagerly awaited STA monthly meeting with Dimitry Speck, creator and founder of Seasonax, presenting his ideas and software system. Unfortunately the poor man got Covid but had, at very short notice, managed to rope in […]
Tags: cycles, data, probability, seasons
STA Annual Celebration 2024: Good turnout, good food and good fun
The STA has for some years been using the National Liberal Club on the Embankment at Charing Cross for special events. A members-only striking venue in an excellent location, I think all members look forward to these get-togethers. In September, […]
Tags: Diploma awards, networking, Party
Fireside Chat with Tom Basso: Calm and collected in Arizona
First nicknamed Mr Serenity by Jack Schwager (while conducting the in-depth interview with Tom over the telephone) Tom says: ‘’Jack, it’s your book [Market Wizards], you can call it whatever you want’’. In turn Tom’s book is called All Weather […]
Tags: Future Contracts, Trading Bands, volatility
Bond Vigilantes Front and Centre: August can be such a cruel month
Paraphrasing T. S. Eliot’s lines from The Wasteland: ‘April is the cruellest month, breeding lilacs out of the dead land, mixing memory and desire, stirring dull roots with spring rain’. The poet believed the season gave false hope of what […]
Tags: annuity, bonds, Cash, income stream, yield
Living in a land of large numbers: How to get a grip
This year, as we are bombarded by politicians’ promises ahead of important elections worldwide, I hear ever larger monetary values bandied about. How they will fix what they hadn’t bothered to do when in post; improve ‘the ordinary person’s’ (a […]
Tags: Million, money, quantity
Annual STA Fellows’ Lunch: Not a Board meeting, just for fun
There are four levels of STA membership: Associate for those with an interest in technical analysis but who have no formal qualifications; Full Member for those who have passed the STA Diploma course and can use the letters MSTA after […]
Staying Ahead of the Game! With Andrew Pancholi, Gann and long term cycles
Another excellent speaker who, like last month’s virtual presentation, was suggested by David Watts FSTA and the main technical analysis tool was Gann cycles. Starting with the 72-year cycle (1929-2001), Andrew warned us not to fall asleep – ahead of […]
Tags: cycles, Gann, vibration
Quick video interview with Elizabeth Miller: A panellist at the STA’s April conference.
Arranged by STA Board Member Gerry Celaya, Elizabeth’s a perfect panellist for the second STA Technicals to Trading Systems Conference in London on the 16th April 2024 (also available virtually). The theme this year is: ‘From Classic Charting to AI […]
Tags: AI, hardware, software, Trading Systems
D’mitri Richardson breezes in from Chicago: Propelled by the cycles of W D Gann
The topic of his talk was ‘Classic Gann’, a subject he is so passionate about that he set up Arcanum Market Research (where he is president) in order to develop the use and understanding of this unique approach to technical […]
Tags: cycles, forumlae, indicators, W D Gann
STA Podcast with Stephen Hoad: Ahead of the Technicals to Trading Systems Conference
Another in the series of STA podcasts conducted by Board Member Gerry Celaya, this time with Stephen Hoad, CEO of The Stop Hunter since 2015. Obviously conducted over telephonic/digital devices as Gerry lives in Aberdeenshire and Stephen in the delightfully […]
Podcast with Alan Dunne MSTA: Ahead of the STA’s Technicals to Trading Systems Conference
A brief six minute interview with Gerry Celaya, board member of the STA. Alan Dunne, having graduated with a BA in economics from Trinity College Dublin in 1995, followed a peripatetic career but is now back in his city as […]
Tags: Allocation, Investing
How NOT to write about the markets: As a technical analyst, economist or media pundit
The title says ‘write’ but the suggestions and pointers in this article apply not only to print but also voice and video content. First and foremost: don’t assume that rising prices are ‘good’ and falling ones ‘bad’. We are not […]
Tags: Hyperbole, Innuendo, media, Vocabulary
January 2024 Panel Debate: Fundamental vs Technical Perspectives Markets Outlook with a FX Focus
The evening of the 9th January, the second Tuesday of the month when all STA monthly meetings are held, we hosted a panel debate jointly with ACI UK and The Broker Club. A good turnout at our usual venue, One […]
Tags: equity indices, forecasts, FX, US dollar
Books embracing Risk-Taking: Or cautionary tales for want to be traders?
At the end of last month the Books section of the Weekend FT carried a review by Andrew Hill, senior business writer at the FT, of two Harvard-linked writers pondering the viability of sensible risk-taking. These were not the more […]
Tags: failure, innovation, losses, risk
STA AGM and Xmas Party: Tuesday 12 December 2023
At 6:30 pm One Moorgate Place was abuzz with at least two office Christmas parties. The STA one kicked off sedately with our usual Annual General Meeting where Chairman Eddie Tofpik outlined some of this year’s highlights. April’s Technicals to […]
Tags: AGM, networking, Party
Old men and obituaries: Looking back, short and long term
Last week legendary investor Charlie Munger died at the ripe old age of 99. Born in Omaha like Warren Buffet, the two were key to the success of their firm Berkshire Hathaway. Unassuming men, they hold a special space in […]
Tags: greed, Investing, multiplier, risk
‘‘The digital euro is on the move!’’ ‘We need to prepare our currency for the future’, Christine Lagarde
Up until today I have made a point of not discussing, writing or opining on crypto and digital currencies. This is because, quite frankly, I don’t understand the subject. My slight shift in emphasis here was prompted by Madame Lagarde’s […]
Tags: central bank, Digital currency, payment system, settlements
‘Surfing the Waves of Social Mood’ STA presentation by Robert R. Prechter, CMT
In the mid-1980s I worked at a small London commodities trading house. Staff were an outgoing, noisy lot which included the now famous Nigel Farage. The head of financial derivatives invited Robert Prechter to give a technical analysis talk to […]
Fickle followers of fashion: Who, and why, do they choose to move on?
Many moons ago I remember the morning my colleague, Mariella Cassar, brought a book into the office at Midland Bank, City of London. She was clearly very excited about it and wanted to share – and discuss – some of […]
Tags: Mathematical models, outliers, Real Body, volume
Latest Posts
- Developments in Technical Analysis: Incremental improvements November 27, 2024
- Seasonality, Cyclicals and Statistics: Probability rules! November 13, 2024
- Atlas of Finance: Mapping the Global Story of Money November 5, 2024
- Have Central Banks tamed inflation? Or are they to blame for the whole fiasco? October 23, 2024
- STA & Commodity Club Joint Panel Debate: Commodities going into 2024 and beyond October 10, 2024
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