Revisiting a format the STA has embraced for some years now, January’s regular monthly meeting on the 10th was a panel discussion on the outlook for foreign exchange markets in 2023. Speakers were asked to stick rigidly to their allocated […]

Refiinitiv Eikon presented a very interesting webinar last Thursday, with content provided by their European Power team. Despite being a lifelong fan of the Reuters terminal, now in its new incarnation as Refiniitiv Xenith, I wasn’t aware that they were […]

In a lengthy study devised and written up by social psychologist Philip Tetlock and author Dan Gardner, thousands of laymen were pitted against ‘experts’ to see who could make the most accurate predictions, and with what degree of confidence. The […]

We all know that the prime mover of technical analysis is a time series analysis of market prices, sometimes labelled as ‘descriptive statistics’ by statisticians. They then call all further analysis based on this data ‘inductive statistics’ which include forecasts, generalisations, and extrapolations.