‘How to Benefit from Seasonality in Difficult Markets’: An IFTA webinar on Monday the 1st August
The International Federation of Technical Analysts is getting good at streaming interesting talks at times that suit their member societies – all over the world; no mean feat! Introduced as usual by IFTA’s web and workshop supremo Bruce Frasier, he reminded us that members of all of IFTA associated societies have access to videos of many of their previous presentations, this one included. He also told us of a new book by US technical analyst Connie Brown which had been written for their society, and that perhaps the 2022 annual conference, to be held in Melbourne this October, might be streamed.
Then on to Dimitri Speck’s well-rehearsed talk with fantastic, clear charts. Looking up his professional profile he claims to be a specialist in pattern recognition and trading systems. With an Electrical Engineering degree from the Technical University of Munich, he is co-founder of Seasonax Capital whose website he displays and explains its functions later on in the talk. He also mentions that www.seasonax.com is offering a limited 30% discount to IFTA affiliated members.
Concentrating mainly on the major equity indices, he has worked through many decades of data looking for repeat seasonal trends in these markets. He suggests concepts which may explain some of the moves, like elections, bookkeeping, tax avoidance, month-end salaries invested, ‘triple witching’ and reluctance to hold positions over a weekend. He believes that while seasonality does change over time, a bull market tends to override these. He also gives a lot of weight to credit cycles.
Dimitri is approachable and believable, and certainly not a computer geek. His website is crisp and easy to use, with drop-down menus, and he’s always looking to add instruments and data to his current lists. Well worth a look, I’d say.
Tags: cycles, IFTA, patterns, Seasonality
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