STA Monthly Meeting – October 2010
Mr Meisels will be talking about the 40-year cycle. According to him since 1789 the US equity market has experienced six secular cycles. They consist of a secular bull and a secular bear phase and last approximately 40 years. The secular bull consists of numerous (± 4 year) Dunbar Cycles which usually have progressively higher highs and higher lows. The secular bear consists of two Dunbar Cycles, where the second is rarely higher than the first, and where one of the bear phases is significantly worse than the other.
Elliott Wave Theory forces each secular cycle into a larger entity (Supercycle, Grand Supercycle, etc.) whereas one, according to Ron, should look at each separately. Once the two bear markets within the secular bear are completed (most recently in March 2009), the secular bear is over, and a new secular cycle begins. Therefore, there is no reason to maintain that we are still in a secular bear market.
Ron Meisels is the developer of the “Meisels Index”, an overbought/oversold indicator based on daily closings prices. He is a highly respected technical analyst with over 40 years of stock market experience and the founder and president of Phases & Cycles Inc.
Next STA Meeting
STA Monthly Meeting – November 2024
Future STA Meetings
STA Christmas Party & AGM
Latest Blog Posts
- Atlas of Finance: Mapping the Global Story of Money
- Have Central Banks tamed inflation? Or are they to blame for the whole fiasco?
- STA & Commodity Club Joint Panel Debate: Commodities going into 2024 and beyond
- STA Annual Celebration 2024: Good turnout, good food and good fun
- Fireside Chat with Tom Basso: Calm and collected in Arizona