STA Monthly Meeting March 2006
Tom leads a team of analysts in London and New York, and is responsible for the production of daily Technical Watch publications. Through the use of technical analysis and global spread relationships the Technical Watch publications present daily directional evaluations of Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange, and Equity futures and cash markets. Weekly technical publications include coverage of Asian capital markets, European Rates Weekly and the Global Futures & Options editions.
He aims to examine 2006 as a transition year for global fixed income markets that have been dominated by the bullish lower yield movement since 2000. Using correlation work, the 2000/2003 cyclical fixed income bull trends were primarily the products of the most severe equity setbacks since the early 1930’s. Higher yield corrections began in 2003, and the relationship between the current equity cycle and fixed income should decline by late 2006 early 2007.
Secular Exhaustion: Driven since 1981 in the US and early 1990’s in Europe, the consistent progress towards lower yields is reaching exhaustion. This has enormous consequences for yields over the next 2-10 years.
Tom Hobson has a wide remit at Merrill Lynch, including overseeing and coordinating EMEA rates publications and strategy recommendations, as well as the team responsible for the daily “Technical Watch” circulars.
Next STA Meeting
STA Monthly Meeting – May 2025
Behavioural Finance and Trading Psychology
Why do traders make irrational decisions — even when they know better?
In this eye-opening online Masterclass, Kim Cramer Larsson, a seasoned Technical Analyst with over 25 years of experience, explores the powerful psychological forces that influence financial decision-making. Drawing on his deep expertise in both market behaviour and trading psychology, Kim offers a compelling look at why traders and investors often fall into the same traps — and how to avoid them.
The talk begins with a look at the trader sentiment roadmap, illustrating how collective emotion shapes market direction. From there, Kim delves into the fundamentals of trading psychology, exploring how emotions, the illusion of control, and our natural aversion to loss impact trading performance. He’ll also examine the subtle but critical role that positioning plays in shaping both perception and risk.
One of the central themes is “Pain & Gain – and an Inconvenient Truth,” where Kim explains why discipline in trading is so difficult to master, even for experienced professionals. The session wraps up with a thought-provoking look at the psychology behind market bubbles — from euphoria to collapse — and what these cycles reveal about investor behaviour
Why do traders make irrational decisions — even when they know better?
In this eye-opening online Masterclass, Kim Cramer Larsson, a seasoned Technical Analyst with over 25 years of experience, explores the powerful psychological forces that influence financial decision-making. Drawing on his deep expertise in both market behaviour and trading psychology, Kim offers a compelling look at why traders and investors often fall into the same traps — and how to avoid them.
The talk begins with a look at the trader sentiment roadmap, illustrating how collective emotion shapes market direction. From there, Kim delves into the fundamentals of trading psychology, exploring how emotions, the illusion of control, and our natural aversion to loss impact trading performance. He’ll also examine the subtle but critical role that positioning plays in shaping both perception and risk.
One of the central themes is “Pain & Gain – and an Inconvenient Truth,” where Kim explains why discipline in trading is so difficult to master, even for experienced professionals. The session wraps up with a thought-provoking look at the psychology behind market bubbles — from euphoria to collapse — and what these cycles reveal about investor behaviour
Future STA Meetings
STA Monthly Meeting – June 2025
Joint Panel Debate with the ACI UK, The Broker Club and The Commodity Trading Club
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