STA Monthly Meeting – June 2023
Does point and figure analysis actually add any value and does it make sense to trade based on it? This method has been around since the early days of technical analysis, but its merits or lack thereof are anecdotal. There really hasn’t been any deeper research into quantitative modeling and testing of this approach and it has been largely abandoned by all but the most loyal followers.
Point and Figure may seem outdated and obsolete, but it’s based on an interesting concept which shouldn’t be dismissed out of hand. Of course, without the ability to quantify and construct a testing methodology, any trading based on it would simply be faith based.
Luckily your intrepid and humble speaker has applied his very particular set of skills to the task. Skills acquired over a very long career. Skills which make him a nightmare for old school technical analysts. If there is value in point and figure, he will find it and he will prove it.
This presentation will demonstrate that there are flaws in point and figure, but flaws which can be fixed. By quantifying point and figure and constructing trading rules based on it, it becomes very clear which parts of the approach make perfect sense and which parts need to be modernised. By making one single, and perhaps controversial change to the point and figure framework, we can construct trading models and apply modern quantitative methodology.
This presentation will outline a modern approach to point and figure, and it will demonstrate how a seemingly ancient and arcane methodology can still provide value. There will be no black boxes, and the presenter will openly share his research on the subject in a way that you could replicate it and incorporate it into your own research and trading.
Andreas Clenow is a Swedish Swiss financier and author based in Zurich, where he acts as Chief Investment Officer of a family office. Over the past three decades, he has been a tech entrepreneur, financial consultant, hedge fund manager, fintech […]
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