STA Monthly Meeting – February 2017
The concept of cycles is very popular among technical analysts. Books and articles define them in various shapes and lengths. They are also very appealing to investors since they imply the old idea of buying low and selling. Unfortunately, trading is not that easy and in reality, identifying and measuring cycles properly seems to be very hard. Most of the tools suggested fail since asset prices behave non-linear and most of the properties are time depending. This presentation describes a technique to identify cyclical behaviour called Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD).
Rolf Wetzer, PhD, is past president of IFTA. He redesigned the CFTe syllabus, was the editor of the IFTA journal and is heading the MFTA program since 2011. He is a member of the Swiss Association of Market Technicians (SAMT) and the prestigious German Statistical Society (DStatG). Rolf is a portfolio manager with a twenty-year track record of managing institutional and private assets, heading teams and trading successfully proprietary money within major financial institutions. Currently he is CEO and co-founder of Ghiribizzo, a company specialized in algorithmic trading of proprietary money.
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